Agricultural finance is a
relatively small part of the Islamic finance industry, something that is not
entirely surprising given the arid conditions and high and rising level of food
imports of some countries where Islamic finance has the greatest level of
assets (e.g. the GCC). However, there
are many areas where Islamic finance is growing—and where the Muslim population
that could potentially be served by greater focus on agricultural financing is
significant.
In an earlier blog post,
I cited statistics from a paper written by the CEO of Pakistan’s Small- &
Medium-sized Enterprise Development Authority (SMEDA) showing that for
Pakistan, 45% of the workforce was employed in agriculture generating 20.9% of
the country’s GDP, yet Islamic financing provided to agricultural clients
represent just 0.1% of total assets. Since I wrote that post, Pakistan’s Meezan
Bank announced that it was launching several agricultural financing products.
In two other countries,
Shari’ah agricultural finance has been growing, and seems set to continue to
grow. In Egypt, the Principal Bank for
Development and Agricultural Credit (PBDAC) is expanding the Islamic finance it
can provide up to LE50 million ($7.5 million), potentially up to double that
level in June, according to the head of Islamic transactions, Abdel Rahman Al
Kafrawi, speaking to Reuters. Al Kafrawi also said that, of the 5.8 million
landowners, the availability of Islamic agriculture finance could increase the
take up of financing from about 1 million now to 3 million, without specifying
a time horizon.
Meanwhile in Afghanistan, a
USAID-funded organization, the Agricultural Development Fund, says 70% of the $11 million in financing it provided through April 2012 was
Shari’ah-compliant. According to the
Reuters article cited above, “the ADF [as of October 2012] had provided loans
to more than 15,000 farm households in 30 of Afghanistan's 34 provinces; it
says it expects to reach 60,000 farmers by the end of 2014.”
All three of these
developments are positive, but developing Islamic finance for agriculture and
making it available will not work in isolation in the absence of demand for
Islamic agriculture financing. Just providing
financing will not make a sustainable contribution to growth, but it can help
because the aversion to interest-based loans limits the demand for credit.
“The
Afghan government is using Islamic financial contracts to extend credit to
farmers in areas where conventional banking has not fully satisfied demand for
funds […]Demand for such [Islamic] financing has been particularly strong in
rural communities because people there tend to be conservative”
“[PBDAC’s]
chairman Muhsin Al Batran told reporters last September that the bank would
expand its Islamic services since a considerable proportion of farmers declined
to take conventional loans because of Islam's ban on interest.”
Any time there is a subset
of people who refuse to use interest based loans, their demand for credit
(unless there is Islamic financing available) will be almost perfectly
inelastic—even when borrowing costs fall, demand for credit will not rise
accordingly. In the case of Afghanistan,
it appears from the perspective of the ADF that the demand for
Shari’ah-compliant financing compounds a general shortage of financing (whether
conventional or Islamic).
These factors—if the growth
can continue and be done with proper risk management by the organizations to
ensure that the non-performing loans stay at reasonable levels—should make
Islamic agricultural financing more successful.
Besides developing new markets for Islamic banks (in particular), they
will provide financing to areas of the economy in many countries employ a large
proportion of the labor force relative to the share of its contribution to
GDP. However, if it is to be
sustainable, there has to be proper regulation which is more likely to be
present in Pakistan (where Islamic finance is relatively well developed) than
in Egypt and Afghanistan (where Islamic banking is a relatively new development
and the regulatory system may not be as well prepared to ensure the stability
of banks offering Islamic finance products, particularly those products that do
not mimic conventional loans in their risk profiles.
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